基于神经网络的小时间粒度交通流预测模型

为解决传统车队离散模型基于概率分布假设和现有交通流预测时间粒度过大不能应用于自适应信号配时优化等问题.在车队离散模型的建模思路上,先分析了下游交叉口车辆到达与上游交叉口车辆离去之间的关系,基于此构建了基于神经网络的小时间粒度交通流预测模型.该模型以上游交叉口离去流量分布为输入,下游交叉口到达流量分布为输出,时间粒度为5 s.最后,通过实际调查数据标定模型参数并应用模型预测下游交叉口到达流量.结果表明,与Robertson模型相比,本文模型预测结果能够更好地反映交通流的变化特征,平均预测误差减少了8.3%.成果可用于信号配时优化.     

Analytical and simulation approaches to understand combined effects of transit signal priority and road-space priority measures

Transit signal priority (TSP) may be combined with road-space priority (RSP) measures to increase its effectiveness. Previous studies have investigated the combination of TSP and RSP measures, such as TSP with dedicated bus lanes (DBLs) and TSP with queue jump lanes (QJLs). However, in these studies, combined effects are usually not compared with separate effects of each measure. In addition, there is no comprehensive study dedicated to understanding combined effects of TSP and RSP measures. It remains unclear whether combining TSP and RSP measures creates an additive effect where the combined effect of TSP and RSP measures is equal to the sum of their separate effects. The existence of such an additive effect would suggest considerable benefits from combining TSP and RSP measures. This paper explores combined effects of TSP and RSP measures, including TSP with DBLs and TSP with QJLs. Analytical results based on time-space diagrams indicate that at an intersection level, the combined effect on bus delay savings is smaller than the additive effect if there is no nearside bus stop and the traffic condition in the base case is under-saturated or near-saturated. With a near-side bus stop, the combined effect on bus delay savings at an intersection level can be better than the additive effect (or over-additive effect), depending on dwell time, distance from the bus stop to the stop line, traffic demand, and cycle length. In addition, analytical results suggest that at an arterial level, the combined effect on bus delay savings can be the over-additive effect with suitable signal offsets. These results are confirmed by a micro-simulation case study. Combined effects on arterial and side-street traffic delays are also discussed.     

基于扩展卡尔曼滤波的GPS信号跟踪技术

提出一种基于扩展卡尔曼滤波的GPS信号跟踪方法,通过扩展卡尔曼滤波器,得到基于相干积分支路的滤波模型,有效地削弱常规GPS跟踪环路中的跟踪误差,增强接收机的抗干扰性能,提升其在信号较弱位置下环路的跟踪性能,对加入惯性信息条件下惯性信息对系统所产生的影响做了相应的分析研究。通过仿真对比结果可以知道:当处于弱信号条件时,与通常用到的GPS信号跟踪方式相比,基于扩展卡尔曼滤波的信号跟踪算法可以有效提升跟踪的精度。     

大型蓄电池修复装置的信号调理技术研究

为提高大型铅酸落后蓄电池修复装置的控制性能和修复效果,分析了蓄电池修复装置的布局特点,研究修复装置信号调理系统,设计了信号调理系统的各组成模块,应用信号调理工控机及数据采集卡模块,集成了先进、有效的大型蓄电池修复装置信号调理系统,为蓄电池修复装置提高电池的容量,发挥修复效果奠定基础。     

Estimating traffic volumes for signalized intersections using connected vehicle data

Recently connected vehicle (CV) technology has received significant attention thanks to active pilot deployments supported by the US Department of Transportation (USDOT). At signalized intersections, CVs may serve as mobile sensors, providing opportunities of reducing dependencies on conventional vehicle detectors for signal operation. However, most of the existing studies mainly focus on scenarios that penetration rates of CVs reach certain level, e.g., 25%, which may not be feasible in the near future. How to utilize data from a small number of CVs to improve traffic signal operation remains an open question. In this work, we develop an approach to estimate traffic volume, a key input to many signal optimization algorithms, using GPS trajectory data from CV or navigation devices under low market penetration rates. To estimate traffic volumes, we model vehicle arrivals at signalized intersections as a time-dependent Poisson process, which can account for signal coordination. The estimation problem is formulated as a maximum likelihood problem given multiple observed trajectories from CVs approaching to the intersection. An expectation maximization (EM) procedure is derived to solve the estimation problem. Two case studies were conducted to validate our estimation algorithm. One uses the CV data from the Safety Pilot Model Deployment (SPMD) project, in which around 2800 CVs were deployed in the City of Ann Arbor, MI. The other uses vehicle trajectory data from users of a commercial navigation service in China. Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the estimation is found to be 9–12%, based on benchmark data manually collected and data from loop detectors. Considering the existing scale of CV deployments, the proposed approach could be of significant help to traffic management agencies for evaluating and operating traffic signals, paving the way of using CVs for detector-free signal operation in the future.     

Understanding the impacts of a combination of service improvement strategies on bus running time and passenger’s perception

Transit agencies implement many strategies in order to provide an attractive transportation service. This article aims to evaluate the impacts of implementing a combination of strategies, designed to improve the bus transit service, on running time and passenger satisfaction. These strategies include using smart card fare collection, introducing limited-stop bus service, implementing reserved bus lanes, using articulated buses, and implementing transit signal priority (TSP). This study uses stop-level data collected from the Société de transport de Montréal (STM)’s automatic vehicle location (AVL) and automatic passenger count (APC) systems, in Montréal, Canada. The combination of these strategies has lead to a 10.5% decline in running time along the limited stop service compared to the regular service. The regular route running time has increased by 1% on average compared to the initial time period. The study also shows that riders are generally satisfied with the service improvements. They tend to overestimate the savings associated with the implementation of this combination of strategies by 3.5-6.0 min and by 2.5-4.1 min for both the regular route and the limited stop service, respectively. This study helps transit planners and policy makers to better understand the effects of implementing a combination of strategies to improve running time and passenger’s perception of these changes in service.     

单交叉口公交信号优先控制策略建模研究

为研究公交信号优先策略对交叉口公交车及社会车辆的影响,建立公交信号优先控制模型及延误模型,以采取公交优先方式后交叉口所有车辆的人总延误减小为控制目标,引入效益指数PI,以信号交叉口优先相位获得的效益与非优先相位损失效益的差值来衡量整体效益,使得每一次采取的公交优先策略都能提高信号交叉口的整体效益。结果表明:在信号交叉口采取信号优先控制策略后,交叉口车辆的人总延误显著降低。本研究成果对其他信号优先控制方式模型、交叉口群公交优先协调控制等具有一定的参考价值和理论意义。     

海上水声信号处理算法中的物理特性仿真研究

通过研究海上水声信号的产生和海上水声信号定位系统的构成,设计水声信号处理系统流程,指出陆地上的主控中心与水中的基站如何进行信号数据传递,以及环境噪声、传输损耗、多径传输、多普勒效应等物理特性对信号偏移产生何种影响。最后通过实验验证加入消除滤波器后可以有效地控制多普勒效应产生的频率偏移。     

一种基于MUSIC改进算法的宽带水声信号DOA估计

提出一种适用于水声宽带信号的DOA估计算法。该方法首先将时域宽带信号变换到频域,然后划分子带,在每个子带上进行不同的加权得到信号的DOA估计。同时子带算法采用改进的MUSIC算法,降低了DOA高分辨力估计所需要的信噪比。计算机仿真对比了MUSIC算法和改进后算法的空域分辨力,同时也对比了不同信噪比下2种算法的性能。仿真结果表明,改进后的算法无论在适用信噪比条件还是分辨能力上均有较大提高。最后采用某型水下航行器的实航数据对算法进行验证,验证结果表明该算法可在实际应用环境中获得良好的DOA估计。     

EEMD和SVM在发动机故障诊断中的应用

针对发动机缸盖振动信号的非线性非平稳特征,提出一种总体平均经验模态分解(EEMD)和支持向量机相结合的信号分析及故障诊断方法,该方法利用EEMD算法以及IMF序列和原始振动信号之间的相关系数,有效放大故障诊断特征向量的差异。对原始振动信号进行EEMD分解,得到各阶特征模态函数(IMF),求各阶IMF分量对应于原始信号的相关系数并组成故障分类特征向量。分别将IMF相关系数法和IMF能量分布法得到的特征向量作为输入,建立BP神经网络和支持向量机,判断发动机工作状态和故障类型。分析表明,对IMF求相关系数的方法简便易行,能有效放大不同工况下特征向量的差异,结合支持向量机能够对既定机型的配气机构和点火系常见故障进行准确识别。